Matchup Predictor
Model accuracy report
Each game uses frozen pre-game stats (through the day before that game). Close misses are wrong picks where the favorite was under 55% (coin-flip territory).
Week by week
| Week | Games | W–L | Close misses |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | 8 | 7–1 | 1 |
| W2 | 11 | 8–3 | 1 |
| W3 | 11 | 6–5 | 0 |
| W4 | 11 | 5–6 | 3 |
| W5 | 14 | 8–6 | 1 |
| W6 | 13 | 8–5 | 2 |
Close misses
| Week | Matchup | Model pick | Win % | Actual | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | FRADKIN LAW @ JERSEY ALLSTARS | FRADKIN LAW | 53.1% | JERSEY ALLSTARS | 4–11 |
| W2 | MONMOUTH GYM @ ACE ALUMINUM | ACE ALUMINUM | 54.5% | MONMOUTH GYM | 23–9 |
| W4 | GAME CHANGER @ PROCARE | GAME CHANGER | 51.8% | PROCARE | 9–10 |
| W4 | PROCARE @ URWAY HEALTH | PROCARE | 50.4% | URWAY HEALTH | 1–13 |
| W4 | FREEHOLD GMC @ GODDARD HOME | GODDARD HOME | 54.7% | FREEHOLD GMC | 13–10 |
| W5 | GODDARD HOME @ ENGAGE PEO | ENGAGE PEO | 52.1% | GODDARD HOME | 16–10 |
| W6 | FRADKIN LAW @ PRINCETON BRAIN | FRADKIN LAW | 52.2% | PRINCETON BRAIN | 7–10 |
| W6 | MONMOUTH GYM @ LHRGC LAW | MONMOUTH GYM | 52.8% | LHRGC LAW | 8–16 |